Several articles have been written on the scenario of the India & China war, the main thing which catches the attraction, is a war of IAF vs PLA-AF and PAF. Here, we would be discussing a slightly different scenario. A scenario where we can see the bit of practicality. So, without much further ado, let’s start. In the end, you will understand why PAF and PLA-AF are purchasing more J-17, J-10, and J-16 fighter jets.
China’s Air Force (PLA-AF)
We all know that currently, China has an Airforce of about 2700-3100 Aircraft. The actual number has always remained unknown. Among these 2000 are the combat aircraft. Which are the ones we will focus on. The key point to note here is that most of the aircraft are on the Eastern fronts and some on the Southern and Northern front. The western front still has enough aircraft to battle. But Some issues prevail.
Let’s recap the aircraft of PLA-AF. They got J-7,J-8,J-10, J-11, J-16, J-20, Su-27, Su-30 MKK and some Su-35s. Now thing is to be known that many of them are quite older aircraft. J-20 is claimed stealth but we all know it’s not.
The issue with PLA-AF is that China has no experience of High Altitude warfare. Along with that, we discussed earlier issues with Chinese Engines. The breathing issues of Aircraft at high engines have been found in the Chinese air force.
Above all this, all the airfield near LAC i.e. Hotan, Kashgar, and Nagri Gurgunsa airbase are at the height of more than 10000 feet. Due to this, they won’t be able to carry full payload and full fuel. Which means they would be not fully utilized. Also, the airfields are far from LAC, it will take time for PLA-AF to reach the battle. And with partial fuel and partial load (missiles), they won’t be able to take down fully loaded Indian Aircrafts (They did take form Plains).
Pakistan Air Force (PAF)
We all know what they consist of. But still, let’s do a little bit of revision just in order to make things easier. Their airforce consists of Mirage-III, Mirage-5, F-16, JF-17, and some J-10. We all know about these fighters. Mirage III and 5 are already outdated. F-16 for that, would I would say does anyone remember Balakot. J-10 and J-17 are just Chinese derivations, so we know how are Chinese ones.
Indian Air Force (IAF)
Discussing the basics of our Air-force as well. The IAF has totally more than 1850+ aircraft. But 900 of them are the Combat aircraft. Most of them in the forward region itself. It is said that more than 15 squadrons are within 200 Kms of the border (LAC and LOC) and along with most of the new aircraft.
The aircraft in forwarding bases include Mig-21 Bisons, Mig-29 UPG, SEPECAT Jaguar, Su-30 MKI, Mirage – 2000, HAL Tejas Mk 1, and the latest Rafale.
The Fight Scenario
Now, lets start the fight, but the virtual one. Now, here we will only see air-to-air war. So, we will eliminate the SAM missiles and only talk about air to air capabilites. We all know that Quality of Indian Aircrafts is really good. But at same time China has a Quantity. So what? Lets get back little into history
One might tell that quality wins over quantity. Well, you are true but have you heard about Battle of Kursk of World war 2. The scenario took place where German tanks and Russian Tanks were face to face. The German tanks were much better in quality than Russian but still they lost. Why? You may ask, just because of the large number of Russian tanks.
Just say, a good quality tank can take out 4 Russian tanks, but what if there are 8 Russian tanks, the well German one will eventually be defeated. Earlier in the article of H-6 Bombers, a Quote was given
A Quantity has its own quality
So here, you understood the concept of quantity as well. Coming back to the present.
Here, let’s understand and take the most advanced aircraft of both forces. So from India, we take Rafale ( A 4++ Generation Fighter) and from China, we have J-20 ( A so-called 5th Gen fighter, actually 4th Gen).
Now, a Rafale can carry 4 Meteor Missile (6 without drop tanks). Here, in Rafale will detect J-20 in BVR (Beyond Visual Range). So, if there are 4 J-20 rushing towards Rafale, they will be down. But what if there are more than that, let’s say 10. Rafale can bring 2 more if short-range missiles are equipped. After that, well the State of Art Rafale Aircraft has no offensive measure.
By the time, the warfare will not be BVR anymore, and rest of J-20 will bring down Rafale. Now, same scenario is repeated in other aircrafts like Sukhoi-30 MKI vs Sukhoi-30 MKK, etc .
This even deteriorates when there is Dog fight (The chances of this are likely as close airspace of India and China). And even more when Pakistan comes into the picture i.e. IAF vs PAF & PLA-AF
So, the main point is the Indian front will be losing 1 aircraft for every 5-6 aircraft of Chinese and Pakistani.
The thing to be noted is, even though we have a good quality of Aircraft, we are losing and the China-Pakistan is winning the game by numbers. This is the reason why India Actually needs 42 squadrons as soon as possible. And also it is the same reason why China(PLA-AF) and Pakistan(PAF), even though just 4th Generation fighters are ready to purchase as much as possible as in Quality they don’t stand chance but in quantity, they are acing it and India is far behind them. But one point is worth mentioning that “IS CHINA AND PAKISTAN READY TO LOOSE 6 AIRCRAFT FOR EVERY 1 INDIAN AIRCRAFT“? Do Share your thoughts in the comment section below.